Sunday, May 10, 2009

Experiment in Statistics, Week 3

No need to freak out to all my faithful readers.  I was out of town for the weekend, so this week's version of my RMOB numbers will be coming slightly later.  With that being said, let's get right to it.  If you need an explanation of my method or what the numbers mean, the first Experiment in Statistics was posted 2 weeks ago, the RMOB is introduced and explained there.  These stats are through Saturday, May 9.

NL Team RMOB
1.Philadelphia .411
2. St. Louis .379
3. Colorado .380
4. Milwaukee .358
5. Chicago Cubs .350
6. LA Dodgers .346
7. Florida .340
8. Pittsburgh .328
9. Washington .322
10. Cincinnati .320
11. Atlanta .319
12. New York Mets .317
13. San Diego .307
14. Houston .302
15. San Francisco .299
16. Arizona .293

AL Team RMOB
1. Texas .408
2. Detroit .382
3. Toronto .377
4. Baltimore .376
5. Tampa Bay .371
6. New York .370
7. LA Angels .367
8. Boston .362
9. Cleveland .343
10. Minnesota .342
11. Kansas City .340
12. Chicago Sox .335
13. Oakland .331
14. Seattle .327

Perhaps the biggest surprise is that the Texas Rangers have relinquished their lead to the Philadelphia Phillies.  With their dominance on offense I would not have been surprised if they had stayed with the highest numbers all season.  They were obviously very inefficient on offense this past week though, and dropped down to .408 from .430.  The Detroit Tigers are a bit higher than one might expect, but they are an offensively oriented team that is built in a similar way to the Rangers in my team.  The Kansas City Royals are very low in the rankings despite leading the AL Central at 18-13.  They seem to have done most of their winning with pitching, so the offensive efficiency has not been as key for them.  The Seattle Mariners have gone just 2-8 in their last ten, and it is showing in them having the worst efficiency in the AL.
As for NL teams, the Philadelphia Phillies are continuing to be incredibly efficient, and they are just a half game back of the NL East lead after losing a couple in a row to the Mets.  The Mets, meanwhile, have improved their efficiency up to .317, up from .308 last week and below .300 the week before.  They have now won 7 in a row, so it is proving to be good for them.  The Colorado Rockies continue to be near the top of the standings in the NL despite being only 11-18.  However, they have dropped about .015 from last week, down to .269.  I would guess that trend would continue for them.  In sticking with my last 10 trend for this week, the Brewers have been hot (7-3) and that is in part because they are amongst the most efficient teams in the NL.  The Arizona Diamondbacks are worst in the league at .293, and they are just 12-19 so far this season.  All in all, I am pleased with the accuracy, although there continue to be some teams that are the exception to the rule.

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